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Polling shows the PM way ahead of his party, but recent history shows presidential-style campaigning has pitfalls
The public have a more nuanced attitude than Labour might wish to Hunt and Sunak’s riches
Tory leaders may fall out of public favour, but the party has a genius for survival
Scores of other seats could go the way of Tiverton and Honiton and fall to the Lib Dems; the message from Wakefield for Labour is less clear
Lessons from the 2019 general election show the Conservatives are vulnerable as a midterm by-election looms
Keir Starmer may not be on track for a win in the next election, but the Conservatives should worry about transactional voters
Those who think such a decision is obvious need to avoid the repeated mistakes of Remainers
Both leaders would have to let down their grassroots if they make it to Downing Street
David Gauke and Philip Hammond and others who lost the Conservative whip face a tough fight
The influence of the rank and file is felt particularly in leadership contests
Conservative pragmatists and purists have long been locked in a struggle over the EU
Warnings from SDP veterans miss the point of nudging Labour’s Brexit position
The party cannot go into another election with May at the helm
Options include new centre party, Momentum-style campaign groups and local electoral alliances
No end in sight to first-past-the-post as Tory, Labour — and now SNP — keep stranglehold on Commons
Number of full party members has doubled in half a year
Whitehall eyes two general elections in quick succession
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