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A breakdown of what the 2023 local votes and past general elections suggest for future outcomes
PM says he is ‘not interested’ in deal with Northern Irish party that propped up Theresa May’s government after 2017
Also in this newsletter, Labour to increase trade union powers, and Priti Patel’s accusation of a managed decline of the Conservative party
Many in the party want a bigger and bolder vision to capture voters’ imagination — and a better campaign machine
Recent history demonstrates the need for Sunak’s Conservatives to rediscover moderation in time for polling day
Local poll results suggest UK could be heading for hung parliament at general election
Despite the party’s gains, Sir Keir Starmer faces numerous challenges if he is to oust Rishi Sunak from Downing Street
Local election results suggest the prime minister has much more work to do in separating himself from his predecessors
Also in this newsletter, Labour tries to reignite the ‘red wall’, and Conservatives focus attack on Sue Gray appointment
Sir Keir Starmer is trying to focus his campaign on the cost of living as bills hit record levels
Unlike Tony Blair and David Cameron, Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak lack an audience and the big ideas to go with it
Party strategists believe traditional Conservatives with more moderate views in Surrey could prove a receptive audience
One of the risks for all parties is low election turnout, because voters can’t stand any of them
Labour lead narrows in recent poll, but dynamic behind voter shift should worry both major parties
The UK Labour leader must confront the soft left, not just the extremists
Starmer bids to turn crime into his party’s political weapon, but this exposes vulnerabilities on policy and personnel
Party says supporters should back Tory candidates after Douglas Ross advocated doing ‘what is best for the country’
While Ed Davey’s party is back to being a viable part of the anti-Tory alliance, it is hard to see what it stands for
Framing the election as ‘Sunak vs Starmer’ may well offer the Conservatives a better chance of victory
Plus, Ed Davey’s goofy photo shoot is a win-win for the Liberal Democrats
Also in this newsletter, Jeremy Corbyn’s chances of election win rest on local institutional support
Rishi Sunak’s allies believe Kate Forbes would have offered more constructive relations with the UK government
Polling shows the PM way ahead of his party, but recent history shows presidential-style campaigning has pitfalls
The UK needs a conversation about tax, spending and the public sector but the main parties lack defined visions
Plus, what was Keir Starmer doing in PMQs?
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