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Errors in hitting central bank goals are likely to be asymmetric with a drift upwards that leads to recession
Data helps steady bond markets and signals prospect of end to interest rate rises on both sides of Atlantic
Also in this newsletter: Boost for UK economy, Washington braces for shutdown, science round-up
And copper revisited
Risk of government shutdown adds to concerns that American consumer is about to crack
Plus, growth stocks, rates and pricing power
Higher for longer is the right balance, for now
New projections and remarks from chair Jay Powell signal no near-term relief from elevated borrowing costs
Two-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2006 after hawkish projections from US central bank
What can we predict?
Expected policy pause would come amid mixed signals on economy
News you can use from the IMF
And waiting on wage growth
And the Treasury basis trade scare story
August uptick leaves economists asking if earlier signs of cooling demand were just a blip
US inflation rises in August as petrol prices jump
Consumer price index increases at annualised rate of 3.7% but ‘core’ reading moderates
Economist, obsolete thyself
Hawkish Dallas president says another skip ‘would be appropriate’ as US inflation cools
There is some hope that remaining ‘excess savings’ can prevent a sudden cut in spending
After-effects of surge in European energy prices have kept inflation higher than in the US
Jobs and price data suggest central bank’s quest to tame inflation is working, economists say
Market Questions is the FT’s guide to the week ahead
Head of ECB suggests more frequent shocks could result in persistent price pressures
Fed chair says US central bank intends to ‘hold policy at a restrictive level’ until price pressures abate
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